Now that the regular season has come to a close, it’s officially time for the lottery-bound teams to turn their attention to next year. That process will start with the 2025 WNBA Draft Lottery, which is set for some time later this year. With UConn guard Paige Bueckers expected to be the No. 1 overall pick, this will be an extremely consequential lottery.
The four teams in the mix this year are the Los Angeles Sparks, Chicago Sky, Dallas Wings and Washington Mystics. But only three of them can wind up with the first selection. The Sky owe the Wings a first-round pick swap this year via the Marina Mabrey trade, so if they win the lottery the No. 1 pick will go to the Wings.
Due to that trade, the Wings will get the first pick if either they or the Sky win the lottery. Thanks to the combined odds of that happening (45.4%), they actually have a slightly better chance of picking first than the Sparks (44.2%). The last time Dallas had the top pick was in 2021, when the team selected Charli Collier out of Texas.
As a reminder, the WNBA calculates lottery odds based on the combined records of the past two seasons. Here’s a look at the lottery teams and their individual chances of winning the No. 1 overall…
