WNBA 2024 Draft Lottery odds: Fever have best chance of winning No. 1 pick; Mercury, Sparks, Storm in the mix

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The 2023 WNBA regular season will not come to a close until Sunday, but the playoff and lottery teams were finalized on Friday following the Chicago Sky’s win over the Minnesota Lynx to clinch the eighth and final playoff spot and relegate the Los Angeles Sparks to the lottery. Joining the Sparks in the lottery are the Indiana Fever, Phoenix Mercury and Seattle Storm. 

As a reminder, the WNBA calculates lottery odds based on the combined records of the past two seasons. That’s great news for the Fever, who showed signs of improvement this season and are currently in 10th place, but will have the best lottery odds due to their disastrous 2022 campaign in which they won just five games. The Mercury, meanwhile, are stuck in last place, but will only have the second-best odds because they went 15-21 last season. Likewise, the Storm, who went 22-14 last season, will have the worst odds even though they are in 11th.  

Here’s a look at the lottery teams and their chances of winning the No. 1 overall pick. (Note: the final combined records will change based on remaining results, but the odds are locked in.)

Indiana Fever

17-58

44.20%

Phoenix Mercury

26-50

27.60%

Los Angeles Sparks

29-46

17.80%

Seattle Storm

33-42

10.40%

The…

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